NAICS 624410

Child Day Care Services in Tracy, CA

The 4 ZIP codes assigned to Tracy contained 36 Childcare establishments in 2023, of which 5 employed 10 or more people.

Establishments (2023)
36
4 ZIP codes
10 or more employees
5
Practical financing floor
Share of county
26%
San Joaquin County
City population
101,901
2025 estimate

Figures cover the ZIP codes the U.S. Postal Service assigns to Tracy (95304, 95376, 95377, 95391). ZIP areas are not municipal boundaries: they can extend beyond city limits and are shared between neighbouring places. This is a count of establishments in Tracy's ZIP codes, not a count of businesses inside its city limits.

Establishments by size

Employee-count distribution. For most buyers the businesses worth pursuing sit in the 5 to 49 range: large enough to have a manager and real systems, small enough to be owner-operated.

EmployeesEstablishmentsShareDistribution
1-41233.3%
5-9925.0%
10-19513.9%

How this market compares

Tracy against every other city in California on the same measure. City figures cover the ZIP codes assigned to the place rather than its municipal boundary, so they are compared as a share of the businesses in those same ZIP codes rather than per resident. Cities with fewer than 500 businesses in total are left unranked.

Densely served1.46% of local businesses, against 0.90% statewide

This industry takes up a far larger slice of the local business base than it does statewide. A crowded market: expect established competitors and price pressure, but also a deeper pool of businesses to buy.

Vs state share
+62%
Share of local businesses
Rank by count
#50
of 354 cities
Rank by share
#60
of 288 ranked
Since 2020
+29%
Change in establishments

This compares how much of Tracy’s business base is child day care services, against the California figure. Base: 2,464 establishments across all industries in the same ZIP codes, 2023. It does not measure revenue, profitability or whether a market is worth entering.

Business size mix

Tracy is more consolidated than California as a whole: fewer micro-operators and a larger share of businesses with real headcount. Fewer targets, but the ones that exist are more likely to be financeable.

Share of establishmentsTracyCaliforniaDifference
Under 5 employeesOwner-operated, often no management layer33.3%49.9%-16.6%
5 to 49 employeesThe range most individual buyers target38.9%25.9%+13.0%
10 or more employeesPractical floor for acquisition financing13.9%13.8%+0.1%

Nearest comparable markets

The closest places to Tracy that also have Childcare establishments on record. Useful for spotting a gap next door, or realising the market you are looking at is already served from the town over.

MarketEstablishmentsVs state share
Lathrop5+7%
Manteca18+20%
Livermore35+47%
Stockton56+3%
Brentwood22+73%

The wider San Joaquin County market

Employment and payroll are reported at county level only, so the figures below describe the county Tracy sits in.

County establishments (2023)
140
San Joaquin County
County employees
1,212
Mid-March employment
County annual payroll
$43M
All establishments
Full Childcare data for San Joaquin County

What acquirers look at

License capacity is the asset and it does not transfer automatically in California. Staff-to-child ratio requirements cap margin structurally.

Other industries in Tracy

Nearby cities

Sources

  1. U.S. Census Bureau, 2023 ZIP Code Business Patterns. Establishment counts and size distribution by ZIP code and NAICS, aggregated over the ZIP codes assigned to each city. Retrieved 2026-09-08.
  2. U.S. Census Bureau, 2023 County Business Patterns. Establishment counts, employment and annual payroll by NAICS. Retrieved 2026-09-08.
  3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (2026Q1). Quarterly establishment counts and employment for employers covered by unemployment insurance. Retrieved 2026-09-08.