Saturation ranking

Where general freight trucking is most and least saturated in California

Every California market with sourced Trucking data, ranked on how much provision it already has. Counties are measured per 10,000 residents. Cities are measured as a share of the businesses in the same ZIP codes, because a city’s establishment counts cover its ZIP codes rather than its city limits and cannot be divided by its municipal population. Neither measure says anything about revenue or profitability, and a crowded market is not automatically a bad one: it is also where the most businesses come up for sale.

Statewide establishments
17,372
2023 County Business Patterns
State median density
2.9
Per 10,000 residents, counties
Counties ranked
45
of 47 with data
Cities ranked
197
of 298 with data

Most saturated counties for trucking

45 of 47 counties with sourced data qualify for this ranking. Markets with fewer than 5 establishments are excluded at both levels, because a single opening or closing would move them enough to dominate the list. Counties under 2,000 residents are also excluded, where a per-capita figure is arithmetically true and analytically useless.

#CountyEstablishmentsPer 10kVs state medianReading
1Sutter County98,787 residents31131.5+1002%Densely served
2San Joaquin County823,815 residents98912.0+320%Densely served
3Colusa County21,836 residents2310.5+269%Densely served
4Glenn County28,141 residents279.6+236%Densely served
5San Bernardino County2,224,091 residents2,0009.0+215%Densely served
6Fresno County1,035,456 residents9258.9+213%Densely served
7Kern County927,068 residents6436.9+143%Densely served
8Merced County297,260 residents1936.5+127%Densely served
9Stanislaus County557,719 residents3596.4+125%Densely served
10Imperial County181,411 residents1106.1+112%Densely served
11Los Angeles County9,694,934 residents5,7575.9+108%Densely served
12Sacramento County1,618,460 residents9065.6+96%Densely served
13Madera County167,927 residents885.2+83%Densely served
14Riverside County2,544,916 residents1,1774.6+62%Densely served
15Yolo County224,410 residents1024.5+59%Densely served

State median for this industry: 2.9 establishments per 10,000 residents. A high figure means more provision per resident, not more demand.

Least saturated counties for trucking

The same 45 counties, read from the bottom of the ordering upward. Thin provision is worth checking against the neighbouring counties before treating it as an opening.

#CountyEstablishmentsPer 10kVs state medianReading
1Marin County253,694 residents110.4-85%Thinly served
2Nevada County101,911 residents70.7-76%Thinly served
3Sonoma County486,444 residents370.8-73%Thinly served
4Santa Cruz County258,852 residents210.8-72%Thinly served
5San Luis Obispo County282,367 residents230.8-71%Thinly served
6San Francisco County826,079 residents841.0-64%Thinly served
7San Mateo County743,568 residents941.3-56%Thinly served
8Santa Clara County1,914,391 residents2441.3-55%Thinly served
9Calaveras County46,605 residents61.3-55%Thinly served
10Butte County209,211 residents281.3-53%Thinly served
11El Dorado County192,323 residents261.4-53%Thinly served
12Humboldt County131,647 residents191.4-49%Thinly served
13Santa Barbara County442,065 residents651.5-49%Thinly served
14Napa County132,949 residents231.7-39%Below average
15Shasta County181,648 residents341.9-34%Below average

State median for this industry: 2.9 establishments per 10,000 residents. A low figure can mean a genuine gap, or a market served from the next county over.

Most saturated cities for trucking

197 of 298 cities with sourced data qualify for this ranking. Markets with fewer than 5 establishments are excluded at both levels, because a single opening or closing would move them enough to dominate the list. Cities with fewer than 500 businesses in total are also excluded, because on a base that small the industry’s share moves on rounding.

#CityEstablishmentsShare of localVs state shareReading
1LathropSan Joaquin, 519 businesses in total10620.42%+1186%Densely served
2Monterey ParkLos Angeles, 2,109 businesses in total32915.60%+882%Densely served
3MantecaSan Joaquin, 1,669 businesses in total24614.74%+828%Densely served
4Yuba CitySutter, 1,959 businesses in total28414.50%+813%Densely served
5CeresStanislaus, 676 businesses in total8011.83%+645%Densely served
6FontanaSan Bernardino, 3,587 businesses in total39911.12%+600%Densely served
7San GabrielLos Angeles, 2,119 businesses in total22810.76%+577%Densely served
8RosemeadLos Angeles, 1,514 businesses in total15810.44%+557%Densely served
9La PuenteLos Angeles, 2,119 businesses in total1838.64%+444%Densely served
10Jurupa Valley1,066 businesses in total918.54%+437%Densely served
11PerrisRiverside, 1,263 businesses in total1048.23%+418%Densely served
12CalexicoImperial, 641 businesses in total517.96%+401%Densely served
13Baldwin ParkLos Angeles, 1,638 businesses in total1307.94%+400%Densely served
14El MonteLos Angeles, 1,835 businesses in total1437.79%+391%Densely served
15Temple CityLos Angeles, 1,038 businesses in total807.71%+385%Densely served
16TracySan Joaquin, 2,464 businesses in total1847.47%+370%Densely served
17AlhambraLos Angeles, 2,384 businesses in total1777.42%+367%Densely served
18ComptonLos Angeles, 1,736 businesses in total1267.26%+357%Densely served
19Union CityAlameda, 1,362 businesses in total967.05%+344%Densely served
20ChinoSan Bernardino, 3,295 businesses in total2327.04%+343%Densely served
21LynwoodLos Angeles, 762 businesses in total516.69%+321%Densely served
22RialtoSan Bernardino, 1,231 businesses in total806.50%+309%Densely served
23West CovinaLos Angeles, 2,345 businesses in total1526.48%+308%Densely served
24HesperiaSan Bernardino, 1,542 businesses in total976.29%+296%Densely served
25Chino HillsSan Bernardino, 1,876 businesses in total1146.08%+283%Densely served

Statewide, 1.59% of California businesses are in this industry. A higher local share means the industry takes up more of the local business base than it does statewide.

City figures are aggregated over the ZIP codes the Postal Service assigns to each place, which do not follow municipal boundaries. That is why the comparison here is a share of the businesses in those same ZIP codes rather than a figure per resident: both sides then cover the same ground, so a city that loses establishments to a separately named ZIP loses its denominator with them.

Most underserved cities for trucking

The bottom of the same ordering. These are the California cities carrying the least trucking provision per resident among those that clear both floors.

#CityEstablishmentsShare of localVs state shareReading
1Costa MesaOrange, 5,397 businesses in total70.13%-92%Thinly served
2PleasantonAlameda, 3,345 businesses in total50.15%-91%Thinly served
3VistaSan Diego, 3,017 businesses in total50.17%-90%Thinly served
4San FranciscoSan Francisco, 33,575 businesses in total600.18%-89%Thinly served
5Santa RosaSonoma, 6,121 businesses in total110.18%-89%Thinly served
6PasadenaLos Angeles, 7,697 businesses in total140.18%-89%Thinly served
7Huntington BeachOrange, 6,263 businesses in total120.19%-88%Thinly served
8Mission ViejoOrange, 2,993 businesses in total60.20%-87%Thinly served
9OrangeOrange, 5,761 businesses in total120.21%-87%Thinly served
10Santa ClaraSanta Clara, 4,587 businesses in total100.22%-86%Thinly served
11OceansideSan Diego, 3,630 businesses in total80.22%-86%Thinly served
12NapaNapa, 3,089 businesses in total70.23%-86%Thinly served
13TustinOrange, 3,361 businesses in total90.27%-83%Thinly served
14Palm SpringsRiverside, 1,933 businesses in total60.31%-80%Thinly served
15ConcordContra Costa, 3,539 businesses in total110.31%-80%Thinly served
16AlamedaAlameda, 1,899 businesses in total60.32%-80%Thinly served
17ChicoButte, 3,159 businesses in total100.32%-80%Thinly served
18Redondo BeachLos Angeles, 2,814 businesses in total90.32%-80%Thinly served
19Laguna NiguelOrange, 1,969 businesses in total70.36%-78%Thinly served
20Yorba LindaOrange, 1,953 businesses in total70.36%-77%Thinly served
21National CitySan Diego, 1,379 businesses in total50.36%-77%Thinly served
22Simi ValleyVentura, 3,329 businesses in total130.39%-75%Thinly served
23IndioRiverside, 1,728 businesses in total70.41%-74%Thinly served
24CamarilloVentura, 2,597 businesses in total110.42%-73%Thinly served
25EscondidoSan Diego, 4,331 businesses in total200.46%-71%Thinly served

Statewide, 1.59% of California businesses are in this industry. A lower local share can mean a genuine gap, or a market served from the next town over.

How to read these rankings

  • Both measures are supply measures. They say nothing about how much each business earns, how large it is, or how much demand comes from outside the market.
  • The two levels are not directly comparable to each other. A county figure is establishments per resident; a city figure is this industry’s share of the local business base against the statewide share. Compare counties to counties and cities to cities.
  • A thinly served market can be a genuine gap or a market already served from a neighbouring town. The individual market pages list the nearest comparable places for exactly this check.
  • A densely served market means competition, but it is also where the largest pool of existing businesses sits, and therefore where the most owners reach retirement each year.
  • Counties are the more stable measure. City figures rest on ZIP code geography, which the Postal Service redraws as it pleases, so a city can gain or lose a ZIP between years.

Full trucking data for California/All industry rankings/Methodology

Sources

  1. U.S. Census Bureau, 2023 County Business Patterns. Establishment counts, employment and annual payroll by NAICS. Retrieved 2026-09-08.
  2. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (2026Q1). Quarterly establishment counts and employment for employers covered by unemployment insurance. Retrieved 2026-09-08.
  3. U.S. Census Bureau, 2023 ZIP Code Business Patterns. Establishment counts by ZIP code and NAICS, aggregated over the ZIP codes assigned to each city, including the all-industry totals used as the local business base. Retrieved 2026-09-10.