NAICS 311811
Retail Bakeries in San Francisco, CA
The 6 ZIP codes assigned to San Francisco contained 35 Bakeries establishments in 2023, of which 9 employed 10 or more people.
- Establishments (2023)
- 35
- 6 ZIP codes
- 10 or more employees
- 9
- Practical financing floor
- Share of county
- 60%
- San Francisco County
- City population
- 826,079
- 2025 estimate
Figures cover the ZIP codes the U.S. Postal Service assigns to San Francisco (94107, 94110, 94112, 94118, 94124, 94133). ZIP areas are not municipal boundaries: they can extend beyond city limits and are shared between neighbouring places. This is a count of establishments in San Francisco's ZIP codes, not a count of businesses inside its city limits.
Establishments by size
Employee-count distribution. For most buyers the businesses worth pursuing sit in the 5 to 49 range: large enough to have a manager and real systems, small enough to be owner-operated.
| Employees | Establishments | Share | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | 13 | 37.1% | |
| 10-19 | 9 | 25.7% |
How this market compares
San Francisco against every other city in California on the same measure. City figures cover the ZIP codes assigned to the place rather than its municipal boundary, so they are compared as a share of the businesses in those same ZIP codes rather than per resident. Cities with fewer than 500 businesses in total are left unranked.
A larger slice of the local business base than the statewide share. Usually a sign of genuine local demand rather than oversupply.
- Vs state share
- +47%
- Share of local businesses
- Rank by count
- #2
- of 105 cities
- Rank by share
- #73
- of 103 ranked
- Since 2020
- -19%
- Change in establishments
This compares how much of San Francisco’s business base is retail bakeries, against the California figure. Base: 33,575 establishments across all industries in the same ZIP codes, 2023. It does not measure revenue, profitability or whether a market is worth entering.
Business size mix
San Francisco is more fragmented than California as a whole: a larger share of very small operators. Fragmented markets are where roll-ups are assembled, and where an owner nearing retirement has no obvious internal buyer.
| Share of establishments | San Francisco | California | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5 employeesOwner-operated, often no management layer | 37.1% | 19.6% | +17.5% |
| 5 to 49 employeesThe range most individual buyers target | 25.7% | 9.7% | +16.0% |
| 10 or more employeesPractical floor for acquisition financing | 25.7% | 6.3% | +19.4% |
Nearest comparable markets
The closest places to San Francisco that also have Bakeries establishments on record. Useful for spotting a gap next door, or realising the market you are looking at is already served from the town over.
| Market | Establishments | Vs state share |
|---|---|---|
| Daly City | 3 | +175% |
| South San Francisco | 4 | +147% |
| Emeryville | 3 | +243% |
| San Mateo | 7 | +129% |
| Berkeley | 3 | -1% |
The wider San Francisco County market
Employment and payroll are reported at county level only, so the figures below describe the county San Francisco sits in.
- County establishments (2023)
- 58
- San Francisco County
- County employees
- 572
- Mid-March employment
- County annual payroll
- $22M
- All establishments
What acquirers look at
Wholesale accounts with grocers and restaurants are worth far more than retail counter revenue. Equipment and buildout carry meaningful replacement value.
Other industries in San Francisco
Nearby cities
Sources
- U.S. Census Bureau, 2023 ZIP Code Business Patterns. Establishment counts and size distribution by ZIP code and NAICS, aggregated over the ZIP codes assigned to each city. Retrieved 2026-09-08.
- U.S. Census Bureau, 2023 County Business Patterns. Establishment counts, employment and annual payroll by NAICS. Retrieved 2026-09-08.
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (2026Q1). Quarterly establishment counts and employment for employers covered by unemployment insurance. Retrieved 2026-09-08.