NAICS 311811 · California overview
Retail Bakeries in Kern County
Kern County had 16 Bakeries establishments in 2023, ranking 16 of 35 California counties and accounting for 1.2% of the statewide total.
- Establishments (2023)
- 16
- Rank 16 of 35 counties
- Employees
- 101
- Mid-March employment
- Annual payroll
- $3.4M
- All establishments
- Per 10k residents
- 0.2
- 927,068 residents
More recent reading
BLS QCEW, 2026Q1The figures above are County Business Patterns, which carries the size distribution but runs about two years behind. The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes quarterly, so this is the same industry roughly 3 years later. The two count different universes, Census counts establishments with paid employees in the March pay period and BLS counts worksites covered by unemployment insurance during the quarter, so the numbers are not directly comparable and either can be the larger.
- Establishments
- 17
- 2026Q1
- Employment
- 143
- Quarter-end level
- Average weekly wage
- $631
- Per covered worker
- Quarterly trend
- 0.0%
- 2025Q2 to 2026Q1
0.61 location quotient. Bakeries employment in Kern County is about 1.6 times less concentrated than in the United States as a whole.
Computed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, not derived here. Above 1.0 means the industry is a larger share of local employment than of national employment.
Establishments by size
Employee-count distribution for Bakeries in Kern County. 5 of 16 establishments (31%) employ 10 or more people, the practical floor for most acquisition financing.
| Employees | Establishments | Share | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | 9 | 56.3% | |
| 10-19 | 5 | 31.3% |
Establishment trend
Year-over-year establishment counts, County Business Patterns. Net decline of 11.1% since 2020.
| Year | Establishments | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 18 | n/a |
| 2021 | 18 | 0 |
| 2022 | 19 | +1 |
| 2023 | 16 | -3 |
How this market compares
Kern County against every other county in California on the same measure. The median excludes places under 2,000 residents, where per-capita figures are arithmetically true but analytically useless.
Well below the state median. Either a genuine gap in provision or a market served from somewhere nearby. Worth checking the neighbouring places below before drawing a conclusion.
- Vs state median
- -43%
- Businesses per resident
- Rank by count
- #16
- of 35 counties
- Rank by density
- #31
- of 35 ranked
- Since 2020
- -11%
- Change in establishments
Density compares retail bakeries provision per resident. It does not measure revenue, profitability or whether a market is worth entering.
Business size mix
Kern is more fragmented than California as a whole: a larger share of very small operators. Fragmented markets are where roll-ups are assembled, and where an owner nearing retirement has no obvious internal buyer.
| Share of establishments | Kern | California | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5 employeesOwner-operated, often no management layer | 56.3% | 43.3% | +13.0% |
| 5 to 49 employeesThe range most individual buyers target | 31.3% | 50.7% | -19.4% |
| 10 or more employeesPractical floor for acquisition financing | 31.3% | 31.8% | -0.5% |
What acquirers look at
Wholesale accounts with grocers and restaurants are worth far more than retail counter revenue. Equipment and buildout carry meaningful replacement value.
Cities in Kern
The figures above cover the county as a whole. These are the places within it.
Other industries in Kern
Sources
- U.S. Census Bureau, 2023 County Business Patterns. Establishment counts, employment and annual payroll by NAICS. Retrieved 2026-09-08.
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (2026Q1). Quarterly establishment counts and employment for employers covered by unemployment insurance. Retrieved 2026-09-08.